Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $986,177$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,003,703.7}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 150.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,003,703.7\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $96,430$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{95,177.0}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 129.3)}}\) (asimptote \(95,177.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $65,392$ on 2020-11-11
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,400,227$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,352,961.9}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 173.0)}}\) (asimptote \(11,352,961.9\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $241,798$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{233,324.2}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 103.0)}}\) (asimptote \(233,324.2\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,161,254$ on 2020-11-11
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $142,465$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{140,932.4}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 151.0)}}\) (asimptote \(140,932.4\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,823$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,810.9}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 145.3)}}\) (asimptote \(2,810.9\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $18,819$ on 2020-11-11
Start date 2020-03-09 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $119,768$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{137,999.9}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 200.0)}}\) (asimptote \(137,999.9\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,513$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,755.9}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 194.7)}}\) (asimptote \(1,755.9\))
Start date 2020-03-09 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $44,746$ on 2020-11-11
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $280,462$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,042,987.3}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 381.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,042,987.3\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,748$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,343.5}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 56.8)}}\) (asimptote \(9,343.5\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $42,888$ on 2020-11-11
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $101,169$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103,718.5}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 153.8)}}\) (asimptote \(103,718.5\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,797$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,800.0}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 137.2)}}\) (asimptote \(2,800.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $54,515$ on 2020-11-11
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $112,811$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{109,383.7}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 141.5)}}\) (asimptote \(109,383.7\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,845$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,648.2}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 119.7)}}\) (asimptote \(3,648.2\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,323$ on 2020-11-11
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $131,265$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{130,940.9}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 139.5)}}\) (asimptote \(130,940.9\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,272$ on 2020-11-11
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,591.0}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 139.5)}}\) (asimptote \(2,591.0\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $19,936$ on 2020-11-11